Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 16
Frosinone – Lazio
Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Frosinone ↓ · Lazio → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.5% | Most Likely Result: 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (10.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 1.78
- Expected Points
- 1.12 – 1.64
- Both Teams to Score
- 62.5%
- Over 2.5
- 61.0%
- Under 2.5
- 39.0%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Frosinone
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Lazio
- 5
6 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.