Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 15
Udinese – Frosinone
Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Udinese ↓ · Frosinone → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.5% | Most Likely Result: 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.2%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.53 – 1.57
- Expected Points
- 1.35 – 1.40
- Both Teams to Score
- 62.4%
- Over 2.5
- 59.8%
- Under 2.5
- 40.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Udinese haven't lost to Frosinone in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D).
- Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Udinese
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Frosinone
- 1
6 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.