Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 15
Inter – Torino
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Torino → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 12.2% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (12.2%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.35 – 0.78
- Expected Points
- 2.33 – 0.49
- Both Teams to Score
- 49.2%
- Over 2.5
- 60.1%
- Under 2.5
- 39.9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter haven't lost to Torino in their last 14 meetings (12W, 2D).
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 14
- Draws
- 6
- Torino
- 4
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.