Week 14
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 14

Juventus – Udinese

Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Juventus
62%
Draws
23%
Udinese
15%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Juventus ↓ · Udinese →0123456
08.2%5.4%2.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
1Most Likely Result: 13.7%10.9%3.9%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
212.7%9.5%3.6%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
37.7%5.7%2.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
43.5%2.6%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
51.3%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 0 (13.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81 – 0.75
Expected Points
2.10 – 0.67
Both Teams to Score
44.4%
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Juventus haven't lost to Udinese in their last 4 meetings (4W, 0D).
  • Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Juventus

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D

Udinese

  1. L
  2. L
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Juventus
18
Draws
3
Udinese
3

24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Wat Udinese2025/26
  2. 3 – 1Wat Juventus2025/26
  3. 2 – 0Wat Juventus2024/25
  4. 0 – 2Wat Udinese2024/25
  5. 0 – 1Lat Juventus2023/24
  6. 0 – 3Wat Udinese2023/24
  7. 0 – 1Wat Udinese2022/23
  8. 1 – 0Wat Juventus2022/23
  9. 2 – 0Wat Juventus2021/22
  10. 2 – 2Dat Udinese2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made