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 Week 14
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 14

Frosinone – Inter

Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Frosinone
15%
Draws
18%
Inter
67%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Frosinone ↓ · Inter →0123456
02.7%6.1%8.1%6.8%4.4%2.2%0.9%
12.6%7.6%Most Likely Result: 9.4%8.0%5.1%2.6%1.1%
21.7%4.3%5.5%4.6%3.0%1.5%0.6%
30.7%1.7%2.1%1.8%1.1%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.5%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.2%0.1%
50.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 2 (9.4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16 – 2.55
Expected Points
0.64 – 2.18
Both Teams to Score
63.6%
Over 2.5
71.2%
Under 2.5
28.8%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Frosinone

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. D
  5. W

Inter

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Frosinone
0
Draws
0
Inter
6

6 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 5Lat Frosinone2023/24
  2. 2 – 0Lat Inter2023/24
  3. 1 – 3Lat Frosinone2018/19
  4. 3 – 0Lat Inter2018/19
  5. 0 – 1Lat Frosinone2015/16
  6. 4 – 0Lat Inter2015/16

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made