Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 13
Torino – Lazio
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Torino ↓ · Lazio → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.2% | Most Likely Result: 13.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 1.45
- Expected Points
- 1.08 – 1.65
- Both Teams to Score
- 50.0%
- Over 2.5
- 45.4%
- Under 2.5
- 54.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 29 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Torino haven't lost to Lazio in their last 3 meetings (1W, 2D).
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Torino
- 4
- Draws
- 9
- Lazio
- 11
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.