Sign inChallenge
 Week 12
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 12

Juventus – Venezia

Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Juventus
71%
Draws
20%
Venezia
9%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Juventus ↓ · Venezia →0123456
08.4%4.2%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
115.6%9.1%2.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
2Most Likely Result: 15.6%8.6%2.4%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
310.2%5.6%1.6%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
45.0%2.8%0.8%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
52.0%1.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
2 - 0 (15.6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96 – 0.55
Expected Points
2.32 – 0.48
Both Teams to Score
36.8%
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Juventus haven't lost to Venezia in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D).
  • Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Juventus

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Juventus
2
Draws
2
Venezia
0

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 3Wat Venezia2024/25
  2. 2 – 2Dat Juventus2024/25
  3. 2 – 1Wat Juventus2021/22
  4. 1 – 1Dat Venezia2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made