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 Week 1
After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 1

Udinese – Como

Score: Udinese 1, Como 1

Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Udinese
Como

Match context

  • Udinese have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • This fixture has produced 20 cards in the last 4 meetings.
Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 25%
Most likely scoreline was 0-1 · actual 1-1

Udinese
20%
Draws
25%
Como
55%

Limits of the forecast

  • This forecast was fitted after the match was played, by a model that had already seen the result. No forecast was stored before kickoff, so it flatters the model and should not be read as a prediction.
  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 17Shots20
  • 3On target7
  • 2Big chances3
  • 2.13Total xG2.44

UdinesexG and shot data: understat.comComo

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsUdinese — 28'Como — 53'2.132.44
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Udinese0.060.680.711.091.182.132.13
Como0.020.150.281.721.791.962.44
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

UdineseComo

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Okoye
Abankwah
Palma
Solet
1
Kamara
Vojvoda
Piotrowski
Karlström
Ekkelenkamp
Zaniolo
Gueye
Butez
Valle
Ramón
Chalobah
Couto
Milla
Perrone
Rodríguez
Baturina
Paz
1
Douvikas
Udinese· 3-4-2-1Como· 4-2-3-1

Head to Head

Udinese
1
Draws
2
Como
2

5 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2026/27
  2. 0 – 0Dat Udinese2025/26
  3. 1 – 0Lat Como2025/26
  4. 4 – 1Lat Como2024/25
  5. 1 – 0Wat Udinese2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • This forecast was fitted after the match was played, by a model that had already seen the result. No forecast was stored before kickoff, so it flatters the model and should not be read as a prediction.
  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made