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 Week 38
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 38

Juventus – Frosinone

Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Juventus
61%
Draws
21%
Frosinone
17%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Juventus ↓ · Frosinone →0123456
05.2%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%0.0%0.0%
19.5%10.1%4.8%1.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
2Most Likely Result: 10.1%10.0%4.9%1.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
36.9%6.8%3.4%1.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%
43.6%3.5%1.7%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
51.5%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
60.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
2 - 0 (10.1%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05 – 0.99
Expected Points
2.06 – 0.73
Both Teams to Score
55.0%
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Juventus haven't lost to Frosinone in their last 7 meetings (6W, 1D).
  • Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Juventus

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D

Frosinone

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. D
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Juventus
6
Draws
1
Frosinone
0

7 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Wat Frosinone2026/27
  2. 3 – 2Wat Juventus2023/24
  3. 1 – 2Wat Frosinone2023/24
  4. 3 – 0Wat Juventus2018/19
  5. 0 – 2Wat Frosinone2018/19
  6. 0 – 2Wat Frosinone2015/16
  7. 1 – 1Dat Juventus2015/16

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made