Sign inChallenge
 Week 37
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 37

Torino – Napoli

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Torino
21%
Draws
26%
Napoli
53%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Torino ↓ · Napoli →0123456
08.8%Most Likely Result: 12.8%10.5%5.5%2.2%0.7%0.2%
17.1%12.3%9.4%5.0%2.0%0.6%0.2%
23.4%5.4%4.2%2.2%0.9%0.3%0.1%
31.0%1.6%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
40.2%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (12.8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90 – 1.58
Expected Points
0.89 – 1.85
Both Teams to Score
47.6%
Over 2.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
54.9%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Napoli have scored in 9 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Napoli

  1. L
  2. W
  3. D
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Torino
3
Draws
5
Napoli
16

24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 1Lat Napoli2025/26
  2. 1 – 0Wat Torino2025/26
  3. 2 – 0Lat Napoli2024/25
  4. 0 – 1Lat Torino2024/25
  5. 1 – 1Dat Napoli2023/24
  6. 3 – 0Wat Torino2023/24
  7. 0 – 4Lat Torino2022/23
  8. 3 – 1Lat Napoli2022/23
  9. 0 – 1Lat Torino2021/22
  10. 1 – 0Lat Napoli2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made