Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 34
Sassuolo – Frosinone
Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 21,525. City: Reggio Emilia. Opened: 1995. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Sassuolo ↓ · Frosinone → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.6% | Most Likely Result: 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (9.3%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.78 – 1.80
- Expected Points
- 1.37 – 1.40
- Both Teams to Score
- 69.7%
- Over 2.5
- 69.3%
- Under 2.5
- 30.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Sassuolo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- This fixture has produced 28 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Sassuolo
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Frosinone
- 2
7 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Sassuolo finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.