Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 33
Juventus – Fiorentina
Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Juventus ↓ · Fiorentina → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 12.5% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (12.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.64 – 0.91
- Expected Points
- 1.88 – 0.87
- Both Teams to Score
- 48.4%
- Over 2.5
- 46.7%
- Under 2.5
- 53.3%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Fiorentina have scored in 8 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Juventus
- 13
- Draws
- 6
- Fiorentina
- 5
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.