Before the matchderby-della-mole
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 30
Torino – Juventus
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Torino ↓ · Juventus → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3% | Most Likely Result: 14.0% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 1 (14.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.85 – 1.47
- Expected Points
- 0.91 – 1.81
- Both Teams to Score
- 44.5%
- Over 2.5
- 40.9%
- Under 2.5
- 59.1%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Torino haven't lost to Juventus in their last 3 meetings (0W, 3D).
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Torino
- 1
- Draws
- 8
- Juventus
- 15
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.