Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 30
Como – Fiorentina
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 13,602. City: Como. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Como ↓ · Fiorentina → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | Most Likely Result: 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.70 – 0.97
- Expected Points
- 1.87 – 0.88
- Both Teams to Score
- 51.2%
- Over 2.5
- 49.9%
- Under 2.5
- 50.1%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 28 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Fiorentina have scored in 8 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Como have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Como
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Fiorentina
- 2
5 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Como finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.