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 Week 29
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 29

Juventus – Como

Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Juventus
40%
Draws
29%
Como
31%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Juventus ↓ · Como →0123456
010.9%10.4%5.7%2.0%0.5%0.1%0.0%
112.2%Most Likely Result: 13.7%6.9%2.4%0.6%0.1%0.0%
27.7%8.1%4.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%
33.1%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (13.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22 – 1.04
Expected Points
1.48 – 1.22
Both Teams to Score
46.0%
Over 2.5
39.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Juventus

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D

Como

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Juventus
2
Draws
0
Como
2

4 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 2Lat Juventus2025/26
  2. 2 – 0Lat Como2025/26
  3. 1 – 2Wat Como2024/25
  4. 3 – 0Wat Juventus2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made