Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 26
Torino – Fiorentina
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Torino ↓ · Fiorentina → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.1% | Most Likely Result: 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.33
- Expected Points
- 1.29 – 1.44
- Both Teams to Score
- 52.3%
- Over 2.5
- 46.9%
- Under 2.5
- 53.1%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Torino haven't lost to Fiorentina in their last 4 meetings (1W, 3D).
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Fiorentina have scored in 8 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Torino
- 6
- Draws
- 11
- Fiorentina
- 8
25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.