Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 26
Frosinone – Napoli
Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Frosinone ↓ · Napoli → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.8% | Most Likely Result: 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (10.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.19 – 1.95
- Expected Points
- 0.91 – 1.86
- Both Teams to Score
- 59.9%
- Over 2.5
- 60.4%
- Under 2.5
- 39.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Napoli have scored in 9 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Frosinone
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Napoli
- 6
7 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.