Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 25
Lecce – Frosinone
Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lecce ↓ · Frosinone → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | Most Likely Result: 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (12.4%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.12 – 1.58
- Expected Points
- 1.06 – 1.68
- Both Teams to Score
- 53.8%
- Over 2.5
- 50.4%
- Under 2.5
- 49.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lecce
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Frosinone
- 1
3 Serie A meetings, 2023/24 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.