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 Week 25
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 25

Como – Torino

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 13,602. City: Como. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Como
59%
Draws
24%
Torino
17%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Como ↓ · Torino →0123456
08.3%6.0%2.5%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
1Most Likely Result: 13.4%11.4%4.4%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%
211.9%9.6%3.8%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
36.9%5.5%2.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
43.0%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
51.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 0 (13.4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73 – 0.80
Expected Points
2.02 – 0.74
Both Teams to Score
45.8%
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Como have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Como haven't lost to Torino in their last 4 meetings (4W, 0D).
  • Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Como

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Como
4
Draws
0
Torino
1

5 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Como finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 3Wat Torino2026/27
  2. 6 – 0Wat Como2025/26
  3. 1 – 5Wat Torino2025/26
  4. 1 – 0Wat Como2024/25
  5. 1 – 0Lat Torino2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made