Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 22
Torino – Frosinone
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Torino ↓ · Frosinone → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | Most Likely Result: 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.7%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.53 – 1.45
- Expected Points
- 1.43 – 1.32
- Both Teams to Score
- 60.3%
- Over 2.5
- 57.2%
- Under 2.5
- 42.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Torino haven't lost to Frosinone in their last 6 meetings (4W, 2D).
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Torino
- 4
- Draws
- 2
- Frosinone
- 1
7 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.