Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 21
Lecce – Torino
Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lecce ↓ · Torino → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.7% | Most Likely Result: 14.1% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 1 (14.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.91 – 1.20
- Expected Points
- 1.13 – 1.57
- Both Teams to Score
- 42.1%
- Over 2.5
- 35.2%
- Under 2.5
- 64.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lecce
- 4
- Draws
- 2
- Torino
- 5
11 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.