Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 21
Como – Napoli
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 13,602. City: Como. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Como ↓ · Napoli → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | Most Likely Result: 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.15
- Expected Points
- 1.43 – 1.29
- Both Teams to Score
- 49.4%
- Over 2.5
- 43.2%
- Under 2.5
- 56.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Como have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Como haven't lost to Napoli in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D).
- Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Napoli have scored in 9 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Como
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Napoli
- 1
5 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Como finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.