Before the matchderby-della-mole
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 18
Juventus – Torino
Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Juventus ↓ · Torino → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 14.5% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (14.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.67 – 0.75
- Expected Points
- 2.02 – 0.73
- Both Teams to Score
- 43.1%
- Over 2.5
- 43.4%
- Under 2.5
- 56.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Juventus haven't lost to Torino in their last 22 meetings (14W, 8D).
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Juventus
- 15
- Draws
- 8
- Torino
- 1
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.