Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 15
Lecce – Sassuolo
Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lecce ↓ · Sassuolo → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.6% | Most Likely Result: 13.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 1.39
- Expected Points
- 1.18 – 1.54
- Both Teams to Score
- 51.3%
- Over 2.5
- 46.2%
- Under 2.5
- 53.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Lecce haven't lost to Sassuolo in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D).
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lecce
- 2
- Draws
- 3
- Sassuolo
- 3
8 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.